Mine are:
Katseye: I think they have a good 2-3 active years before activities slow down unless their contract lasts more (no one knows if their contract lasts the same as kpop groups or less). The group gives me the impression that they weren’t made to last long in the first place,plus,traditionally,western ggs don’t go more than 4-5 years. I don’t think they’ll officially disband,I think they’ll follow the same route as senior kpop groups,where everyone’s doing their own thing but the group still exists on paper
Aespa-They’ll already be in their 7th year in 2027 so if sm abides by the law,their contract renewals are supposed to be next year,or early 2028 at most. Even if they renew and go on for a few more comebacks,most groups slow down by their 9-10th year.
Newjeans-self explanatory
Ive-Debuted in 2021 so they’ll be on their 8th year in 2029. They’ll probably slow down like most senior groups
Txt-They’re already 7 years old and going strong but I think by the time the hit their 10th year they’ll slow down for military service,which is the most common reason senior bgs usually go inactive
Ateez and skz-Same reason as txt
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