What Are The Chances of ZB5 Having Success?

Looking at how ZB1 is only continuing with 5 members (Jiwoong, Hanbin, Matthew, Taerae, and Gunwook) – this is going to be a big loss for the group statistically speaking (sales, views, streams, etc.)

In the nicest way possible – the 4 members that are leaving (Zhang Hao, Ricky, Yujin, and Gyuvin) are some of the most beneficial members to the group. Zhang Hao’s c-bar alone bought 400k albums for Melting Point. That’s a QUARTER of their first week sales based off of one members c-bar. Not to mention Ricky brings in a lot of international recognition, Yujin brings in a lot of Japanese/Korean recognition & Gyuvin’s fairly popular all around.

And this is compounded by the fact that Jiwoong, one of the more popular members, is also going to have to enlist for military service within the next year. So ZB5 will quickly become ZB4.

Comparing this to Kep1er (because the same company and same situation) – they only lost 2 members and those 2 members weren’t among the most popular. Mashiro carried a lot of popularity in Japan but Hikaru/Youngeun were still in the group to retain Japanese fans. And they kept Xiaoting/Bahiyyih which were the most popular members. So Kep1er actually sold MORE albums once they were out of WakeOne as 7.

But for ZB1 continuing as 5, I don’t see that happening. Kep1er managed to retain the vast majority of their fandom while also gaining public interest due to the separation of two members. And the group that the two members went to after Kep1er (Madein) was quickly boycotted, leading those fans back to Kep1er. But ZB1 seems as though they’re about to lose a very noticeable chunk of their fandom as not many will be willing to financially support and follow both groups at the same time.

So what do you think? What do you estimate their sales will be? What do you estimate their success chances will be continuing as 5?

submitted by /u/YeahImJudgingYou
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