KRW/USD: Korean Won Rises to Highest Since October on Exporters Dollar Sales; Year-End Forecast at 1,350

KRW/USD: Korean Won Rises to Highest Since October on Exporters Dollar Sales; Year-End Forecast at 1,350

Summary: The KRW/USD exchange rate, which had surged to 1,555.8 won in early July, plummeted by 132 won to 1,415 won on August 5, settling in the low 1,400s. Dollar inflows from SK Hynix’s ADR issuance, coordinated action by South Korean, U.S., and Japanese foreign exchange authorities, and increased currency conversion demand from exporters drove the decline. Experts forecast the year-end exchange rate in the 1,350–1,450 won range, with a reversal in the pace of money supply growth between South Korea and the U.S., the potential for additional rate hikes by the Bank of Korea, and improved FX market supply-demand dynamics supporting won strength. However, a hawkish pivot by the Federal Reserve, a resurgence of Middle East risks, or foreign capital outflows are cited as variables that could push the rate back above 1,450 won.

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