My thought about Yoon being released

First of all, you must be aware that Yoon’s being released DOES NOT mean he is innocent. (Of course, dumb pro-Yoon loyalists think releasing means innocence) So I’m unsure about Yoon being released.

If the court decided to release Yoon because there was too much damage on western Seoul court (preventing pro-Yoon riots to wreak havoc again, because they want Yoon released), it might be justified, to prevent future conflict. The judges might feel their life being threatened (seriously, those riots tried to lynch the judges!) and activated their instinct of survival, which is somewhat understandable. But if that’s the reason, some people would regard that the court have succumbed to the riots.

The procedure of confinement was a main problem according to court. So if prosecution service accidentally made a mistake, they could reorganize the confinement procedure. ‘Cause Yoon’s main reason of being impeached is martial law declaration’s flawed procedure. So poor procedure on Yoon’s confinement would lose its righteousness, and Yoon will try to nitpick later.

But, in the worst case: If procecution service made a mistake ON PURPOSE, the prosecutors decided to be remain as Yoon’s dogs, or guards (because Yoon is former chief prosecutor). They cannot avoid the next regime’s purge. They should prepare for the prosecution service being disbanded and reformed to whole different organization.

Whether Yoon’s released or not, his impeachment confirmation by constitutional court seems very likely. Note that treason, his alleged crimes, and its investigation are the other separated thing. And after he becomes no longer the president of ROK, he will face much more investigations regarding his allegations, mostly involving in first lady Kim’s ones about:

  • Itaewon incident,
  • marine soldier Chae’s death,
  • Seoul-Yangpyeong expressway route being changed,
  • Dior bag receipt,
  • Deusch Motors stock manipulation,
  • illegal election intervention with Myung Tae-kyun,
  • and more…

Most of his allegation always have followed him. Yoon kept throwing vetos on special probes, as if Yoon have committed that crime or been the accomplice.

This is very unlikely, but if Yoon’s impeachment is declined and Yoon goes back to office, will his remaining presidency be okay? Probably not. And if he tries to declare the martial law again, will the soldiers obediently follow the order? I don’t think so. They are not just like Star Wars’ Clone Troopers. And the re-declaration might backfire and Yoon could meet a terrible demise like Nicolae Ceaușescu.

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