Major local news from South Korea, April 24

Major local news from South Korea, April 24

Global trade risk: Citigroup estimates that if the US and China impose over 100% tariffs on each other, Korea’s GDP growth may decline by 0.5 percentage points. If the conflict continues, next year’s growth could drop by up to 2.3 percentage points due to increasing uncertainty.

Aging population and consumption: Korea’s population in their 50s and 60s is spending less after retirement due to longer life expectancy. According to a KDI report, each one-year increase in life expectancy reduces average consumption propensity by 0.48 percentage points. Over the past 20 years, GDP rose by 4.1% annually while consumption only grew by 3.0%.

Financial markets and politics: Power-related stocks surged around 10% based on political campaign pledges. However, such politically themed stocks are highly volatile and can drop rapidly with any policy reversals or resignations.

Real estate market: In March, Seoul apartment transactions reached a 56-month high with 9,259 units traded following the lifting of land-use restrictions. However, April saw a decline due to reintroduced regulations. Mixed-use residential zones close to amenities are increasingly popular, with application competition ratios reaching 50 to 1 in some cases.

Corporate news: HD Hyundai recorded over 1 trillion won in quarterly sales from high-voltage transformers, with operating profit increasing 70%. OpenAI expressed interest in acquiring Chrome if Google is forced to divest the asset in antitrust proceedings.

Legal and social issues: Korea’s Supreme Court is expediting review of Lee Jae-myung’s case. The government also announced that May 2 will not be designated as a temporary public holiday. International developments: Reports suggest that Putin may halt further military advances if international recognition of Crimea as Russian territory is accepted. Ukraine and the EU remain opposed. In the US, a federal court rejected a request to suspend tariffs, citing lack of evidence of significant harm to small businesses.

Market sentiment: Comments from Trump about potentially reducing China tariffs improved investor confidence. This led to a rebound in the dollar, a decline in gold prices, and a six-basis-point drop in 30-year US treasury yields.

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